Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.199666 0.227033 0.256385 0.290160 0.327904 0.368737 0.416206
2026-02-08 0.159661 0.195591 0.236707 0.287070 0.346920 0.415587 0.500142
2026-02-15 0.131837 0.172335 0.221347 0.284675 0.363939 0.459444 0.582761
2026-02-22 0.114601 0.158661 0.214673 0.290487 0.389712 0.514363 0.681890
2026-03-01 0.098813 0.144249 0.204680 0.290002 0.406249 0.557825 0.768894
2026-03-08 0.086390 0.132441 0.196285 0.289956 0.422294 0.600705 0.857101
2026-03-15 0.076441 0.122662 0.189253 0.290473 0.438293 0.643692 0.947382
2026-03-22 0.069296 0.115992 0.185692 0.295117 0.459798 0.694947 1.051593
2026-03-29 0.063919 0.111287 0.184352 0.302530 0.485350 0.752958 1.168310
2026-04-05 0.058273 0.105422 0.180502 0.305475 0.503971 0.801473 1.273434
2026-04-12 0.053804 0.100932 0.178264 0.310494 0.525735 0.855474 1.389232
2026-04-19 0.050366 0.097776 0.177795 0.318103 0.551769 0.917061 1.519465
2026-04-26 0.045489 0.091674 0.172054 0.316880 0.564069 0.958975 1.623258
2026-05-03 0.041120 0.085982 0.166445 0.315319 0.575544 1.000076 1.727937
2026-05-10 0.037246 0.080751 0.161111 0.313677 0.586572 1.040836 1.834032
2026-05-17 0.034963 0.078342 0.160638 0.320556 0.612580 1.107522 1.985923
2026-05-24 0.031999 0.074201 0.156504 0.320316 0.625857 1.153318 2.105051
2026-05-31 0.029388 0.070468 0.152769 0.320422 0.639590 1.200388 2.228429
2026-06-07 0.027100 0.067145 0.149499 0.321074 0.654206 1.249544 2.357567
2026-06-14 0.025482 0.065102 0.148594 0.326205 0.677394 1.314867 2.517923
2026-06-21 0.024281 0.063859 0.149203 0.334345 0.706709 1.392516 2.703619
2026-06-28 0.022734 0.061620 0.147493 0.337583 0.726635 1.453915 2.862754
2026-07-05 0.021502 0.059985 0.146920 0.343083 0.751257 1.525051 3.042683